Friday, October 24, 2008

Twelve Days Out: What are we to think?

What are we to think? It is pretty unnerving-- all signs point to success, and perhaps big success on November 4th. Thursday's Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll has Obama moving up to a 12 point lead nationally.

There were eight polls of Midwestern states produced by the Big Ten Battleground Poll group. Obama not only leads in all eight states by hefty margins but has improved his standing since the last time the group surveyed these states.

The numbers are startling. Obama leads by 12 points in Ohio, by 11 points in Pennsylvania and by 13 points in Wisconsin. In Michigan, where McCain's campaign has pulled out, the lead is 22 points. In Indiana, a strong red state, the Obama lead is 10 points, which is larger than in other recent polls.

Quinnipiac University released polls of three battlegrounds that it has been surveying regularly this cycle: Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida. Obama leads in all three. In these surveys, Obama's lead in Pennsylvania is 13 points. In Ohio, which is a must-win for McCain, the lead is a whopping 14 points.

McCain and Palin get bad press every day -- Palin's $150k apparel shopping spree is just the latest of a dozen negative press stories percolating. (Click here to read some of Palin's most notorious gaffes)

None of the McCain- Palin tactics seem to be working. They have played just about every card, like the ACORN/poor-people-will-steal-the-election card and the Obama-hangs-with-terrorist-Bill-Ayers card, just to name a few. Now they warn that Obama is a "socialist," who will redistribute the wealth, even as the current Republican administration redistributes nearly a trillion in taxpayer money to Wall Street and banking firms. Do they not see the contradictions? Obama has an easy answer." If I'm a socialist, why did Warren Buffet endorse me." Apparently the McCain campaign thinks most Americans want the rich to stay very rich, and not get their fair share.

Now coming from me, it would be better if Obama were more of a socialist, but no one really knows what that means. Let's hope he redistributes some of that wealth beyond Wall Street.